Monday, September 29, 2014 8:57 AM
By BRIAN A. HOWEY
– Questions, questions, questions: Will Republicans take the Senate in
November? Will there be a Republican wave? Who will be the presidential
nominees in 2016?
These were the questions posed by J. Murray
Clark to an Indiana Chamber of Commerce Fly-In panel last Thursday at
the Hyatt Regency on Capitol Hill that included HPI’s Brian A. Howey,
U.S. Chamber national political director Rob Engstrom, former U.S. Rep.
Mary Bono and Ted Bristol, both of FaegreBaker & Daniels Washington
office, and Chris Sautter, a Democratic media consultant and recount
expert who is also a contributing HPI columnist.
Will there be a 2014 wave?
All indications are right now there’s going to be a small wave. It’s
going to be a good Republican year. People are fed up with the status
quo. Sadly, people are fed up with their own congressman. I think we’ll
take back the Senate and pick up a few House seats.
Rob Engstrom: We
invested in about 95 races in the 2010 cycle and redistricting cut that
to 35 or 40 races. You all know about the experience in the Senate
race. Now the battles are in primaries. Mary’s right there’s probably a net
gain of somewhere between eight and 10 seats in the House and, though
things can change and October surprises aren’t generally good for
Republicans, that dictates the Republicans will get the Senate.
Brian Howey: From an Indiana
perspective I call this the beige election. It’s going to be a status
quo situation. My Democratic sources are telling me that it’s very
unlikely the party will pick up seats in the Indiana House. That’s
something Indiana Democrats absolutely have to do. They’ve got to start
making inroads into the super majorities. Otherwise we risk Indiana
turning into a one-party state when it comes to the Statehouse. On the
Congressional level, we’re watching the 2nd CD. Jackie Walorski had a
closer-than-expected race in a newly drawn district. Joe Bock has gone
up on TV, but again the national dynamic is a headwind that’s going to
be very, very tough.