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Tuesday, October 16, 2018
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  • Braun posts $5.6 million on 3rdQ FEC report
    "Mexico Joe Donnelly chose partisan games over Hoosiers when he opposed Justice Kavanaugh, and enthusiasm continues to build for hiring job creator Mike Braun and firing Mexico Joe. After raising over $5 million this quarter, Mike Braun for Indiana has the resources to remind Hoosiers that Mexico Joe supports Obamacare and Obama’s Iran nuclear deal while Mike Braun stands with President Trump's agenda of creating economic opportunity for Hoosier families." - Republican Senate nominee Mike Braun’s campaign spokesman Josh Kelley, on the third quarter FEC report showing Braun raised $5.6 million in the third quarter from 10,000 donors and now has $1.9 million cash on hand. U.S. Sen. Joe Donnelly has not released his report yet.
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  • The Kavanaugh effect on the INSen race
    Around 5 p.m. Saturday, the U.S. Senate is expected to confirm Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. Vice President Mike Pence may cast the deciding vote (one Republican senator will be at his daughter’s wedding). Most believe this will bring a distinct rightward shift to the high court.

    It could also signal a similar shift in the showdown between U.S. Sen. Joe Donnelly and Republican nominee Mike Braun. They are locked in a tight race, with the latest Fox News poll giving Donnelly a 43-41% lead with Libertarian Lucy Brenton at 6% (Donnelly is well below that 50% that makes an incumbent comfortable and Brenton seems to be siphoning off some of his support). Donnelly’s likely voters extremely or very interested in voting for him stood at 71%; Braun at 72% with his voters. In September poll, Donnelly was at 76% and Braun at 66%. So Republican intensity is up. That's the Kavanaugh impact. 

    The two square for their first statewide televised debate at 7 p.m. Monday (6 p.m. CT) at Purdue North Central in Westville. We’ll be covering that, and keeping a keen eye on post-Kavanaugh confirmation polls in the coming week. This U.S. Senate race is a tossup and volatile.
    - Brian A. Howey, publisher
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