BUTTIGIEG SAYS THERE'S 'ENERGY' FOR AN OUTSIDER LIKE HIM: South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg said Sunday that there is "energy for an outsider like me" in the 2020 presidential race even after the election of President Trump, who had never held public office before. "It doesn't work with just any outsider — it matters what you care about and whether you're committed to uniting, rather than dividing the American people as president," Buttigieg added (CBS News). The 37-year-old mayor acknowledged he is an "unconventional" candidate, but "there's a lot of frustration with the Washington way of doing business." Buttigieg spoke to CBS News during a weekend of campaigning in Iowa, which included a speech Friday night at one of the Democrats' biggest events in Iowa, the Liberty & Justice Celebration. Buttigieg gave a rousing call for generational change, saying he is running "to launch the era that must come next" to loud applause. "Let's be really clear: There are three months to go in Iowa, there's a year to go before Election Day," Buttigieg said. "And, there are formidable candidates — a lot of us — running and competing for this election. So, a lot of things can happen. But, what we are seeing is that the momentum behind our campaign is strong."

AP POLL SHOWS HIGH ANXIETY HEADING INTO 2020: A year out from the 2020 general election, there already is significant interest in the presidential campaign. But a poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research also finds a growing share of Americans feeling anxious and frustrated compared with early in the summer. Republicans and Democrats are about equally likely to say they have been paying close attention, but the poll finds feelings of anxiety and frustration more concentrated among Democrats. The poll finds widespread interest in the campaign, including among 82% of Democrats and 74% of Republicans. Overall, 73% of Americans say they’re interested, up slightly from 66% in June. Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they feel anxious, 67% to 45%, and frustrated, 64% to 49%. But the poll finds that levels of frustration and anxiety have increased among people from both parties since June. Democrats who describe themselves as liberal are slightly more likely than moderates and conservatives to say they’re interested, 88% to 79%, but also significantly more likely to say they’re anxious, 80% to 60%. More than half of Americans, 55%, say they have an unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump, while 40% say they have a favorable opinion. Eight in 10 Republicans have a favorable opinion, while nearly 9 in 10 Democrats have an unfavorable one.

WARREN'S MASSIVE HEALTH PLAN IS UNPRECEDENTED: Sen. Elizabeth Warren's Medicare for All takes on every major health care industry — insurers, doctors, hospitals, drug companies — in her quest to expand coverage and lower costs for the middle class (Axios). We've never tried any cost containment measures that are remotely close to being as aggressive as Warren's. Experts say you can only wring so much money out of the system before it starts to impact care — and Warren is wringing out a lot. Private insurance would be eliminated. Americans would no longer have to worry about reaching their deductibles or whether their doctors are in their insurance network. They'd pay no premiums and have "virtually no" out-of-pocket costs, according to Warren. They'd have expansive health benefits, including long-term care, audio, visual and dental. To pay for all of this, providers would see drastic payment reductions. Drug prices would plummet. The bottom line: The days of American health care as big business would likely be over. Patients may win financially, but there's no way of knowing at what cost to the quality of their care.

NEW HPI BUSINESS OFFICE CONTACTS: Howey Politics Indiana has new business office, subscription management and accounts payable/receivable contacts. Lisa Hounchell of 1Up is our new business manager. If you have subscription or account business with HPI, contact her at 765.452.3936 or via email at HPI.Business.Office@howeypolitics.com. Our new business address is Howey Politics Indiana, c/o Business Office PO Box 6553, Kokomo, IN, 46904. The firm 1Up has had a long business relationship with HPI, dating back to our mutual origins from the Nixon Newspapers chain. 1Up has hosted HPI's web services for almost two decades.

PROBE SHOWS BAC TESTS ARE OFTEN WRONG: A million Americans a year are arrested for drunken driving, and most stops begin the same way: flashing blue lights in the rearview mirror, then a battery of tests that might include standing on one foot or reciting the alphabet (New York Times). What matters most, though, happens next. By the side of the road or at the police station, the drivers blow into a miniature science lab that estimates the concentration of alcohol in their blood. If the level is 0.08 or higher, they are all but certain to be convicted of a crime. But those tests — a bedrock of the criminal justice system — are often unreliable, a New York Times investigation found. The devices, found in virtually every police station in America, generate skewed results with alarming frequency, even though they are marketed as precise to the third decimal place. Judges in Massachusetts and New Jersey have thrown out more than 30,000 breath tests in the past 12 months alone, largely because of human errors and lax governmental oversight. Across the country, thousands of other tests also have been invalidated in recent years. The machines are sensitive scientific instruments, and in many cases they haven’t been properly calibrated, yielding results that were at times 40 percent too high. Maintaining machines is up to police departments that sometimes have shoddy standards and lack expertise. Technical experts have found serious programming mistakes in the machines’ software. States have picked devices that their own experts didn’t trust and have disabled safeguards meant to ensure the tests’ accuracy.

PRESIDENT WILLIAM HENRY HARRISON'S TIPPECANOE SWORD FOUND: President William Henry Harrison died in 1841 after just 31 days in the White House. But the sword he carried at the Battle of Tippecanoe is caught up in one last war. The sword and its scabbard were seized by the police in Connecticut last month just minutes before they were to go up for auction, where organizers said they were expected to fetch at least $50,000 (New York Times). A sword said to have belonged to the president was stolen from the Cincinnati Historical Society in 1979, officials said. There was no sign of it for 40 years until an eagle-eyed Harrison fan in Ohio last month stumbled upon an auction website advertising the sale — the next day — of a “silver-hilt smallsword” once wielded by the president. He alerted other amateur historians, and together they got law enforcement officials in two states to swiftly intervene, seizing the sword on Oct. 19, the day it was to have been sold. “We just never thought it was ever going to happen, but it did,” said Tom Ratterman, a board member of the Harrison-Symmes Memorial Foundation, which runs a museum in Cleves, Ohio, dedicated to Harrison and his family. That includes John Cleves Symmes, a colonel in the Revolutionary War and a leader in the American settlement of Ohio who was the sword’s first owner. Historians say President Harrison carried the sword at the Battle of Tippecanoe in 1811 and the Battle of the Thames in 1813, where the Shawnee leader Tecumseh was killed. His war exploits earned him the nickname “Old Tippecanoe,” which became a campaign slogan when he ran for president in 1840 with his running mate John Tyler: “Tippecanoe and Tyler, too.”

HALEY BOOK SAYS SHE, TRUMP 'UNDERSTOOD' EACH OTHER: Nikki Haley, the former U.N. ambassador and South Carolina governor, will be out Nov. 12 with "With All Due Respect: Defending America with Grit and Grace" (Axios): "When I had an idea about a direction for U.S. foreign policy — with regard to Iran, Venezuela, North Korea, or elsewhere — I could pick up the phone and call the president. Our communication was nearly constant, and it was straightforward. We didn’t always see eye-to-eye. Sometimes I called to privately express my disagreement with a policy. But he always took the call and he always listened. The result was that I had unusual latitude to operate as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. ... President Trump and I understood each other."

MICHIGAN RECREATIONAL POT MAY NOT MEET DEMAND: It’s a virtual certainty that marijuana for recreational purposes won’t be available at state-approved dispensaries until the first quarter of next year. Michigan began taking applications Friday for a variety of licenses to grow, process, transport and sell marijuana or cannabis for adults who are 21 and older, but the end of November is the soonest any of those licenses could be approved, said David Harns, a spokesman for the state’s marijuana-licensing agency (Semmler, South Bend Tribune). And that includes only those who already have been vetted by the state to grow, process, transport or sell medical marijuana, Harns said. It will take at least 60 to 90 days to complete background checks for those who have never gone through the application process. But even if a dispensary were able to gain approval before the end of the year, they likely will not have cannabis that could be sold for recreational purposes because the state’s suppliers can barely keep up with the demand from the estimated 300,000 residents with a medical-use card. “The director could have allowed the transfer of product for recreational purposes, but he doesn’t plan on doing it right away,” Harns said, referring to Andrew Brisbo, who oversees the state marijuana-regulatory agency. “It doesn’t make sense to potentially take it away from medical patients.”

HPI DAILY ANALYSIS: The NFL can be a cruel place. If Colts kicker Adam Vinatieri had been his normal Hall of Fame self this season, the Colts would be 7-1 instead of 5-3 after his second muffed game-winning FG Sunday at Pittsburgh. As for the Bears, this team has had just two competent QBs in the past century (Sid Luckman and Jim McMahon). They drafted Mitch Trubinsky ahead of Patrick Mahomes and DeShaun Watson. Of course, things could be worse. The Cincinnati Beagles are 0-8. - Brian A. Howey



Campaigns

HOGSETT RAISES RECORD $5.8M: No candidate has ever raised or spent so much money to be elected mayor of Indianapolis as Mayor Joe Hogsett. As of last Friday, he’d raised $5.8 million over the course of four years for his re-election bid. “I think the cost of elections are climbing to levels that are concerning,” said Hogsett, referring to the limits of state campaign spending laws.  “The number of low-dollar contributions, I think, is indicative of a grassroots campaign" (CBS4). “Sure, I’ve had the support of donors that give more than what would normally be on average the case, but there’s no expectation on their part or on my part,” said the mayor whose campaign reported an additional $140,000 raised in the last couple weeks, including a $30,000 donation by retired businesswoman and philanthropist Cristel DeHaan. “I’m just grateful for their support and hope they vote for me on Election Day.” Republican nominee Jim Merritt was not able to raise a comparable war chest despite his former post as Marion County GOP Chairman whose job it is to build a grassroots organization and strong bench of candidates while shoring up party finances and donations. “Fundraising was really really difficult,” he said. “If everybody knew that I had $5.5 million thrown at me along with an almost 60% Democrat county, if people knew that, they would be surprised, I think.” Merritt eventually raised $844,000, compared with 2015 Republican challenger Chuck Brewer’s $1 million campaign and two-time mayor Greg Ballard’s $3.6 million 2011 re-election bid. Merritt said Ballard, who introduced him at his candidacy announcement, gave his campaign $10,000.

PORTAGE MAYORAL CANDIDATES SEEK RETURN TO OFFICE: This year's race for mayor is unique in that each candidate has held the position this year in the wake of former Republican Mayor James Snyder's federal conviction in February on bribery and tax obstruction charges (NWI Times). Democrat Sue Lynch took over as mayor for a couple of weeks by virtue of her position as city council president. She was then replaced at the start of March by Republican John Cannon, who was voted in by Republican precinct officials to finish the term of fellow GOP member Snyder. "I am running for mayor because it is time to bring fiscal responsibility, honesty, integrity and transparency back to our city," Lynch said. "It is time to put politics aside and work for all citizens. Now more than ever we need a person with leadership skills and experience working with our business community, our schools, our employees and our citizens. After eight long years of negative headlines it is time to move forward and create a positive image for our city." Cannon said he is running, "to ensure that city government continues to serve you, and not the other way around." "I aspire to be the mayor that joins generations together to accomplish what they couldn't accomplish individually," he said. "I aspire to combine a generation that enjoys faith, happiness, a slower pace and confidence with the generation that is our future — and equipped with energy and 'tech smarts.'" "I will make decency new again," Cannon said. "I will listen to opposing views by having an open mind. I will make common sense in local government popular again."

INGOP, HOLCOMB PASS ON ANDERSON RACE: With just two days before voters go to the polls in Anderson, there appears to be little interest in the mayor’s race from the state’s Republican Party (de la Bastide, Anderson Herald-Bulletin). This past weekend was interesting in that incumbent Republican Gov. Eric Holcomb visited 10 Indiana cities in support of mayoral candidates. There was no stop made in Anderson to assist GOP candidate Rick Gardner. In fact, Holcomb made a stop in Lawrence at 9 a.m. on Friday and then went to Muncie for an 11 a.m. appearance before traveling to Fort Wayne. Holcomb had to pass right through Madison County on his way to Muncie, unless he decided to go by way of Carmel. What Tuesday’s election is about — more than the candidacy of Gardner or Libertarian candidate Rob Jozwiak — is that it’s a referendum vote on the performance of incumbent Democrat Thomas Broderick Jr. That is usually the case whenever an incumbent is running for re-election. As of Thursday, the Gardner campaign had not reported any funding from the Indiana State Republican Party.

EARLY VOTE NUMBERS UP IN INDIANAPOLIS: The 23rd day of early voting in-person concluded at 5 PM  Sunday (Howey Politics Indiana). Over 2,300 people voted early in-person in Marion County on today. A comparison table of early voting, and other methods of absentee voting in the 2019, 2015, and 2011 Municipal Elections can be found below. Total absentees returned are 17,609, compared to 6,881 in 2015 and 145,476 in 2011. The final day of early voting is Monday, November 4th from 8:00 AM—Noon, only in the City-County Building. The satellite voting sites are unavailable for voting on Monday, November 4th.

FORT WAYNE COUNCILMAN CLAIMS SMEAR WITH FLIER: Democratic City Councilman Geoff Paddock on Sunday decried what he called a last-minute, unfair smear by a Republican opponent seeking his job (LeBlanc, Fort Wayne Journal Gazette). Paddock, who has represented the city's 5th District since 2012 and is running for a third term, held a news conference outside the planned Electric Works campus to defend his record and fight back against claims included in a mailer from challenger Taylor Vanover. “(It's) the worst piece of political mudslinging I've ever seen,” Paddock said, surrounded by supporters including State Rep. Phil GiaQuinta, D-Fort Wayne. “This is not worth the dignity of my opponent. He should apologize immediately.” Paddock and Vanover will square off in Tuesday's election. In the flyer that landed recently in the mailboxes of residents in the 5th District, which covers much of central and south-central Fort Wayne including downtown, Vanover claims, “Geoff Paddock has failed us.” “Violent crimes are up and we're one of the deadliest cities in the country!” it reads. “Wages are stagnant and our neighborhoods are being ignored.”

KY ADS FOR BEVIN CLAIMS BOYS V. GIRLS SPORTS: From the 12th floor of a glass office tower in the Washington suburbs, a campaign to sway the governor's race in Kentucky on Tuesday is being waged with an alarmist claim that has little to do with the race itself: If Democrats have their way, soon boys will be able to compete against girls in school sports (New York Times). This scenario, presented in a pair of ads that are appearing on computer screens and smartphones across Kentucky, is the work of a little-known group funded by anonymous donors called the American Principles Project, which in recent years has focused on fighting more familiar clashes in the culture wars over same-sex marriage and abortion rights. The group is limiting its work to Kentucky for now, but strategists say it has bigger ambitions. It is effectively running a pilot program for the 2020 election that will help it determine how it could use the debate over transgender rights to rally conservative voters in support of President Trump.

Presidential 2020

WARREN CHANGES FACTS ON MEDICARE FOR ALL PLAN: When Senator Elizabeth Warren laid out her plan for “Medicare for all” on Friday, she said she would raise taxes on the top 1 percent of households to help pay for it. The middle class, she said, would not pay “one penny” more (New York Times). On Saturday night, Ms. Warren presented an even narrower description of who would face higher taxes under her plan. She told reporters that billionaires would be the only people to see their taxes go up — a misstatement of what she had proposed a day earlier. “It doesn’t raise taxes on anybody but billionaires,” Ms. Warren told reporters in Dubuque, Iowa, when asked what income bracket she defined as “middle class.” She added, “And you know what? The billionaires can afford it.” Anyone with under $1 billion in net worth, she said, “is not paying a penny more.” Asked again how she defined middle class, she repeated the assertion. “Understand this,” she said. “This is no increase in taxes for anyone except billionaires. Period. Done.” But that is not what she proposed on Friday. Ms. Warren’s plan for Medicare for all, which calls for $20.5 trillion in new federal spending over a decade, would be financed through a mix of sources, including taxes on businesses and $3 trillion in total from two proposals to tax wealthy Americans.

CAN WARREN AVOID TAXING MIDDLE CLASS? The biggest question surrounding Elizabeth Warren's new Medicare for All plan isn't whether she has produced a plausible pathway to raising $20.5 trillion over the next decade to fund it (Brownstein, The Atlantic). Rather, the biggest question is whether $20.5 trillion is actually a plausible estimate of how much her plan would cost. Warren's estimate is considerably lower than most projections for a single-payer system, as her team acknowledged in its own analysis of the plan. Even at a flat $20 trillion, such a plan would cost more than the federal government now spends on Social Security alone or on Medicare and Medicaid combined. Estimates from the nonpartisan Rand Corporation, the conservative-leaning Mercatus Center at George Mason University, and the center-left Urban Institute have each placed the 10-year cost of a single-payer plan at $31 trillion to $34 trillion.



Sunday Talk

McCARTHY SAYS 2016 RESULTS WOULD BE UNDONE IF TRUMP REMOVED: House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) blasted the House’s impeachment inquiry process Sunday, arguing that removing President Trump would represent an undoing of the 2016 presidential election, even as CBS’s Margaret Brennan reminded him that Vice President Pence would in that case become president. Appearing on CBS’s “Face the Nation,” McCarthy repeatedly characterized the inquiry as an attempt to “undo” the election. “I think democracy is too precious to think that somebody who's not on a phone call, that cannot stand before the American public and answer the questions, that somehow we would change the course of that,” McCarthy said in reference to the whistleblower whose complaint led to the inquiry.

SCALISE EVADES QUESTIONS ON FOREIGN INTERFERENCE: House Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.) did not directly answer questions on Sunday about whether it was acceptable for President Trump to ask Ukraine to look into his political opponents. Asked by ABC’s “This Week” host George Stephanopoulos whether he agrees that it is wrong for the president to solicit investigations into political opponents, Scalise said “that’s not what was happening on the phone call.” “When the president said ‘will you do me a favor’...that wasn’t about Joe Biden,” Scalise said. “The transcript clearly shows the president was asking [the] Ukrainian president to investigate his political opponents,” Stephanopoulos said, referring to a rough transcript of  Trump’s call with Ukraine's leader, Volodymyr Zelensky, released by the White House. “Do you think that was appropriate?” the ABC host then asked. “That wasn’t, first of all, about political opponents,” Scalise said.  “The law, George, requires President Trump or any president, when they’re sending foreign aid...to another country, to first ensure that that country’s rooting out corruption. He and Zelensky were talking about that on the phone call.”

SCALISE SAYS TRUMP DIDN'T COMMIT IMPEACHABLE OFFENSES: House Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.) said in an interview that aired Sunday that President Trump did not commit any "high crimes and misdemeanors.” In an interview on ABC's "This Week" he also complained about a House resolution to formalize the impeachment investigation into President Trump that was passed mostly along party lines last week. "The resolution they just passed, in a very partisan way, gives the chairman the full discretion to kick the president's legal counsel out of the room and to veto any witnesses that we would call," Scalise said. “They didn’t accept any Republican amendments. They didn't negotiate with the White House on that resolution,” he added. “They don’t want fair rules, they just want to hurt President Trump's chances to win reelection."

HOYER VOWS OPEN HEARINGS: House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) on Sunday would not commit to a timeline on open hearings in the impeachment inquiry into President Trump. “Time is not constraining us, the truth and the facts are constraining us. We are going to move as soon as the facts and the truth dictate,” Hoyer said on CBS’s “Face the Nation.” “When [Intelligence Committee Chair] Adam Schiff [D-Calif.] is determined that he is through what he needs to have in terms of testimony and evidence, he will then, pursuant to the resolution, submit it to the Judiciary Committee and the Judiciary Committee will proceed in a manner giving the rights to the president and the Republicans that exceed, frankly, the rights that were available to the minority” during the Clinton.

REP. COLE DOESN'T BELIEVE TRUMP WILL BE REMOVED: Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.) criticized the House impeachment inquiry into President Trump in an interview that aired Sunday, saying that "there is very little likelihood that the president will be removed." "The best thing for the public to do is read the transcript. It's the closest thing we have to a record, and you make a judgment as to whether or not you think what happened there is worth putting the country through an incredibly divisive experience," Cole said on "Meet the Press," referring to a rough transcript released by the White House of a phone call between Trump and Ukraine's president.  "We know how this story is going to end," Cole added. "There is very little likelihood that the president will be removed." "We've made a political decision to put everything on hold, divide the country for an outcome that we know," the Republican continued.

YANG SAYS DEM NOMINEE COULD BE HURT BY IMPEACHMENT: Presidential candidate Andrew Yang said “there’s a chance” impeachment could hurt the 2020 Democratic nominee. The entrepreneur warned in an interview on CNN’s “State of the Union” that Washington's focus on the impeachment inquiry could impact how successful the nominee is next November. “The downsides of that, the entire country get engrossed in this impeachment process,” Yang said. “And then, we’re gonna look up and be facing Donald Trump in the general election and we will not have made a real case to the American people.” “Is it going to hurt the Democratic nominee?” host Dana Bash asked. “There’s a chance that it will,” the candidate responded, noting that several candidates would be called back to Washington in January if the inquiry made it to the Senate, “which would definitely take their focus away from the campaign.”

CLYBURN VOWS TO MOVE AHEAD WITHOUT GOP SUPPORT: A top House Democrat predicted on Sunday that the lower chamber would move forward with a vote on impeachment against President Trump without support from GOP lawmakers. When asked by CNN’s Dana Bash on “State of the Union” if he would support a House vote on impeachment without backing from Republican colleagues, Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) said, “We would. Absolutely.” “I think when we talk about bipartisan support, we’re not limiting that to the Congress,” Clyburn said, referring to  Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) statement from March, when she said impeachment needed bipartisan support to be successful in Congress. “I don’t think she was limiting that to the Congress,” he added. “She knows the Congress very well, and she knows how Republican colleagues are prone to vote on these issues within the party.”

REP. SEWELL QUESTIONS BLOCKED TESTIMONY: Rep. Terri Sewell (D-Ala.), a member of the House Intelligence Committee, asked Sunday why the Trump administration has been 'afraid' to let witnesses testify in the impeachment inquiry. "This administration is doing everything to make sure that witnesses don't get a chance to come and be heard. And why are they hiding it?" she asked on NBC's "Meet the Press." "If they really have firm grounds to stand on, why are they so afraid to let witnesses come before us and tell their side?" Sewell added.  Asked whether she thought the scheduled testimony of White House lawyer John Eisenberg would be blocked, the Democrat responded: "I don't know." "I hope that he will testify," Sewell said.  "This administration has done everything it can to hide the ball and it begs the question, 'What are they trying to hide?'"

SPEIER SAYS TRANSCRIPTS WILL BE RELEASED: Congresswoman Jackie Speier of California, a member of the Democratic majority in the House Intelligence Committee, said the American public can expect to see this week transcripts of recent closed-door congressional appearances by current and former Trump administration officials at the center of the impeachment inquiry.  "I think you're going to see all of the transcripts that are going to be released probably within the next five days," Speier said on "Face the Nation" Sunday. "I don't know if they're all going to be released on the same day. But they're going to be very telling to the American people."

HIMES SAYS GOP CONSUMED BY TRUMP CULT OF PERSONALITY: Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.), the No. 2 Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, defended the House’s party-line vote on formalizing procedures in its impeachment inquiry, saying the vote was the result of the GOP being a “personality cult for Donald Trump.” Pressed by Chris Wallace on "Fox News Sunday" on the zero Republican votes after Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said the impeachment process must be bipartisan, Himes responded by pointing to Wallace’s previous guest, Counselor to the president Kellyanne Conway. "As you just experienced with Kellyanne Conway for 12 minutes of some of the most ludicrous TV and unfactual statements by a White House official I have ever heard, the Republican party has no fully given itself over to being a personality cult for Donald Trump,” Himes said.

HARRIS SAYS SHE'S 'ALL IN' ON IOWA: Senator Kamala Harris says she is "all in" on winning the Iowa caucuses and will end up "doing very well" in the first contest of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. In an interview on Saturday, Harris explained the reasoning behind a recent campaign shakeup, in which her campaign shuttered field offices and laid off staff elsewhere to focus its efforts on Iowa. "I'm practically living in Iowa to do the work that is necessary to make sure that I earn the support and have the folks in the caucuses who are standing in Kamala's corner," Harris said in an interview Saturday.



Congress

IMPEACHMENT INQUIRY SCHEDULE: The House impeachment investigators will continue their depositions in a secure hearing room inside the Capitol. A person familiar with the proceedings said there is "substantial uncertainty surrounding who would show up this week given these officials are higher ranking officials and there are ongoing concerns about privilege" (Axios). For example, Robert Blair, a White House national security aide who reportedly listened in on Trump's July 25 call with the Ukrainian president, has already made clear, through his attorney, that he will follow the White House's direction and refuse to testify. Brian McCormack, associate director for natural resources, Office of Management and Budget; Michael Duffey, associate director for national security programs, OMB; and Russell Vought, acting OMB director, will not testify this week. Monday: John Eisenberg, deputy counsel to the president for national security affairs; Michael Ellis, deputy legal adviser to the National Security Council; Robert Blair; Brian McCormack. Tuesday: Wells Griffith, senior director for international energy and environment; Michael Duffey. Wednesday: Russell Vought; David Hale, undersecretary of state for political affairs; T. Ulrich Brechbuhl, counsel to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo; Rick Perry, energy secretary.

HOUSE SCHEDULE: The House breaks for recess this week, but committees investigating impeachment will hold closed-door hearings (Axios).

SENATE SCHEDULE: The Senate expects to confirm the following Trump nominees, per a GOP leadership aide: David Austin Tapp as a judge of the Court of Federal Claims. Danielle Hunsaker as a judge for the Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit.

William Joseph Nardini as a judge for the Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. Lee Philip Rudofsky as a judge for the Eastern District of Arkansas. Jennifer Philpott Wilson as a judge for the Middle District of Pennsylvania.

State

ISP: TROOPER INJURED IN CRASH - A state trooper suffered a leg injury after a driver struck his car during a traffic stop Sunday (CBS4). According to Indiana State Police, the incident happened around 9:45 a.m. on U.S. 421 south of Versailles. Senior Trooper Kyle Black stopped a 2002 Dodge Caravan on U.S. 421 northbound near County Road 750 South. His unmarked vehicle was positioned behind the van on the shoulder with its emergency lights flashing.

TRANSPORTATION: LANE CLOSURES FOR I-65 BRIDGE AT LOUISVILLE -  Kentucky transportation officials say lane closures are planned on an Ohio River Bridge that connects Louisville to southern Indiana so that expansion joint repairs can be made (WTHR-TV). The Kentucky Transportation Department says in a statement that lane closures on the Interstate 65 Kennedy Bridge will begin this week. The statement says the right three lanes of Interstate 65 South will close at midnight on Nov. 8 and reopen at 5 a.m. on Nov. 27. Officials say motorists should watch for work zone signs and slower traffic. The left three lanes of I-65 will be closed in December as part of the same project. The work is being done to provide a smoother ride for vehicles traveling over the span.

Nation

WHITE HOUSE: TRUMP VOWS TO CUT OFF FED AID TO FIRE RAVAGED CA - Donald Trump has threatened to cut off emergency funding to California as wildfires rage across the state, telling governor Gavin Newsom to “get his act together” (Independent). In his latest attack on the state he returned to old complaints of forest management, including recommending better cleaning of the forest floors, as he first did in 2018. However California's governor was quick to highlight the role of the environmental crisis in spreading the fires. In response to the president, Mr Newsom tweeted: "You don’t believe in climate change. You are excused from this conversation."

WHITE HOUSE: TRUMP THREATENS TO OUT WHISTLEBLOWER - President Donald Trump on Sunday reiterated his calls to reveal the name of the whistleblower behind the complaint that led to the House’s formal impeachment inquiry, mentioning unconfirmed reports about the person’s identity and possible ties to the previous administration (Politico). Trump sought to discredit the whistleblower, linking the individual to his Democratic predecessor, President Barack Obama, as well as former CIA director John Brennan and former national security adviser Susan Rice — two of Obama’s top aides. “There have have been stories written about a certain individual, a male, and they say he’s the whistleblower,” Trump told reporters outside the White House. “If he's the whistleblower, he has no credibility because he’s a Brennan guy, he’s a Susan Rice guy, he’s an Obama guy. And he hates Trump.”

WHITE HOUSE: QUARTER OF DHS POSITIONS VACANT - A quarter of the leadership positions on the Department of Homeland Security's website are "acting" or vacant (Axios). President Trump said Friday that senior DHS official Chad Wolf will be named acting secretary, to replace acting Secretary Kevin McAleenan. Wolf will be the fifth person in the job for this administration. Throughout the agency, there are hiring difficulties, vacant positions and temporary officials. And this has been true across Trump's government, with record turnover in top positions and many months of acting secretaries. Mick Mulvaney has been acting White House chief of staff for 10 months.

WHITE HOUSE: MANAFORT SPREAD UKRAINE CONSPIRACIES - Paul Manafort, President Trump’s former campaign chairman, spread a conspiracy theory now at the center of the impeachment investigation — that Ukraine, not Russia, hacked the Democratic National Committee — as early as five months before the 2016 election, according to newly released documents from the special counsel’s investigation (New York Times). Mr. Manafort told his deputy on the campaign about the theory shortly after emails stolen from the Democrats were published in June 2016, and questions arose about whether Russia hacked the emails to help the Trump campaign, according to the documents. The documents have no information about when Mr. Trump embraced the conspiracy theory, which he later asked Ukraine’s president to investigate in a July 25 phone call even as he was withholding military aid for the country. Those revelations helped touch off the impeachment inquiry.

WHITE HOUSE: CARTER REFLECTS ON DYING - At a church service on Sunday, former President Jimmy Carter reflected on dying and expressed his thoughts on what would truly make American great (ABC News). "I assumed naturally that I was going to die very quickly," said Carter, referring to his cancer diagnosis in 2015, during a Sunday school service at Maranatha Baptist Church in Plains, Georgia. Carter's Sunday message was about belief in resurrection and life after death as a Christian.

WHITE HOUSE: TRUMP SCHEDULE - President Trump will meet with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo at 11:45 a.m. in the Oval Office. He will host the 2019 World Series Champions, the Washington Nationals, at 1:30 p.m. on the South Lawn. Trump will leave the White House at 4:10 p.m. en route to Lexington, Ky., where he will speak at a campaign rally at Rupp Arena at 7 p.m. Afterward, the president will return to Washington. Wednesday: Trump delivers remarks on federal judicial confirmation milestones. He will also deliver remarks at a rally in Monroe, Louisiana. Thursday: Trump presents the Presidential Citizens Medal. He will also deliver remarks at a fundraising committee reception in Washington, D.C.  Friday: Trump participates in a roundtable with supporters in Atlanta, Georgia. He will also deliver remarks at a fundraising committee luncheon in Atlanta.

BUSINESS: McDONALD'S CEO FIRED - McDonald’s Corp. said it has fired Chief Executive Steve Easterbrook because of his consensual relationship with an employee, the latest challenge for the company as it races to keep up with changes reverberating throughout the food industry (Wall Street Journal). The burger giant said Sunday that its board voted Friday to terminate Mr. Easterbrook after investigating his relationship with the unnamed employee. Mr. Easterbrook resigned from McDonald’s board as well. He wrote in an email to McDonald’s employees on Sunday that he had violated company policy on personal conduct. “This was a mistake,” Mr. Easterbrook wrote in the email. “Given the values of the company, I agree with the board that it is time for me to move on.”